Electric Cars in 2050: 75% Sold.

17 States Adopt Californian ICE Ban

It is conceivable that if more American states opt to embrace California’s toughened regulations prohibiting the sale of new Internal Combustion Engines (ICEs) by 2035, up to three quarters of all fresh autos transacted within the US in 2050 would be totally electric. A research report released by Energy Innovation, a research association, suggested that assuming 17 extra jurisdictions accede to California’s freshly adopted Advanced Clean Cars II (ACC II) rule, by 2050 there may be nearly 239 million entirely electric cars active on the roads.

In 17 regions across the United States, regulations established by the Clean Air Act are already being adhered to. This rule is an extension of measures already found in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), guaranteeing their implementation until the 2032 EV tax credit sunset date. Additionally, it calls for a mandatory standard of zero-emissions vehicle sales in just 12 short years.

The California Air Resources Board (CARB) states that 17 States, accounting for 40% of the present vehicle licenses across the U.S., are involved in this.

It is important to recognize that the Advanced Clean Cars II mandate involves car manufacturers making a significant increase in their zero-emission car output over a number of years. The aim is to have 35% of all new vehicles sold, in 2026, be powered by no polluting means, together with, reaching 100% within the next fifteen years. Maryland, New Jersey, New Mexico and New York were carefully regarded in the researched and selected as models, to merit the power of this regulation.

Each state’s governor has already declared either the adoption of ACC II or that it is heavily considering it. New Mexico, for instance, the report states that “ACC II adoption could raise [its] EV sale shares to 68% by 2030, and 100% by 2035, as opposed to 59% and 47% by those same years (and 73% by 2050) under the IRA-only scenario.”

One of the most significant difficulties facing regions across the nation is an issue that has already come to the fore – infrastructure. Unquestionably, Tesla’s Supercharging network is considerably better than the current selection of rivals consisting of Electrify America and ChargePoint.

Therefore, “policymakers should develop plans to deploy charging infrastructure using Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) funds and consider attracting EV parts manufacturers to their state,” the report continues. It’s essential to be aware that states have the alternative of completely following California’s regulations or decreasing the timeline, Automotive News mentions. Colorado is a great example of this.

It has been established that 82% of sales will be zero-emission vehicles by 2032 but not a guarantee of going entirely emissions-free by 2035. Thus, what is the consequence if all 17 states decide to adhere to California’s regulations and completely enforce them?

According to Energy Innovation’s findings, the United States has the potential to reduce its cumulative CO2e emissions by 1,310 million metric tons by 2050. This would be akin to the elimination of 13 coal plants’ emissions over the same time period, or the equivalent of 282 million gasoline-powered vehicles taken off the road in a single year.

Automakers are certainly conscious of such predictions and have already initiated the transformation of development concerning more battery factories and specialized areas, such as the Ford Rouge Electric Vehicle Center – the production site for the F-150 Lightning.

States should adopt ACC II in order to reap the economic benefits that come with having more zero-emission vehicles on the road. According to the report, these advantages include “new jobs and sources of tax revenue, as well as consumer cost savings”. Additionally, states that implement ACC II will be able to enjoy cleaner air, healthier communities, and a more stable climate. As the report concludes, “States can drive cleaner air, healthier communities, and a more stable climate.”